Ambrose
Evans-Pritchard, (date is missing) the author of the article in The Telegraph,
analyses the European deflation
crisis and compares this situation to Japan's deflation failure that
happened due to policy errors. Dept
in Europe is on the increase and is becoming a serious threat to the
European economy. Since
the debt in western Europe rises faster than nominal GDP, these
countries may face disastrous consequences. Deflation
can cause dangerous runaway debt, which is already the case in Italy
and Spain, and this debt is even more problematic to repay.
Policy
errors throughout Europe are one of the main reasons why the prospect
of solving the deflation problem seems very unlikely. One possible
solution for this dilemma is proposed in the article, namely, to let
inflation drift up in order to prevent deflation. However, countries
which are not affected by this danger, such as Germany, are against
this solution. Therefore, instead of establishing stable policies,
Europe is drifting uncontrollably towards its deflation grave. The
author then suggests that France, Italy, Spain and Club Med should
ally and force Germany to enforce reflation policies. As they fear
Germany's quitting, this solution is improbable to be implemented.
Furthermore, the author suggests the economy recovering by itself,
which is also an inappropriate solution.
[207
words]
With teacher's corrections:
Ambrose
Evans-Pritchard, the author of the article published in The Telegraph on the 23th of October,
analyses the European crisis and compares this situation to Japan's deflation failure that
happened due to policy errors. European debt is increasing and is threatening the
European economy. Since
the debt in western Europe rises faster than nominal GDP, these
countries may face disastrous consequences. Deflation
can cause extremely dangerous runaway debt, which is already the case in countries like Italy
and Spain, and this debt is even more problematic to repay.
Policy
errors throughout Europe are one of the main reasons why the prospect
of solving the deflation problem seems very unlikely. One possible
solution for this dilemma is proposed in the article, namely, to let
inflation drift up in order to prevent deflation. However, countries like Germany are against
this solution. Therefore, instead of establishing stable policies,
Europe is drifting uncontrollably towards its deflation grave. The
author then suggests that the Club Med should
ally and force Germany to enforce reflation policies. As they fear
Germany's exit, this solution is unlikely to be implemented.
Furthermore, the author suggests may recover spontaneously,
which is also an inappropriate solution.
[196 words]
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